ISTANBUL
\nTurks voted on Sunday in one of the most consequential elections in the country\u2019s 100-year history, a contest that could end President Tayyip Erdogan\u2019s imperious 20-year rule and reverberate well beyond Turkey\u2019s borders.
\nThe presidential vote will decide not only who leads Turkey, a NATO-member country of 85 million, but also how it is governed, where its economy is headed amid a deep cost of living crisis, and the shape of its foreign policy.
\nOpinion polls have given Erdogan\u2019s main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who heads a six-party alliance, a slight lead, with two polls on Friday showing him above the 50% threshold needed to win outright. If neither wins more than 50% of the vote on Sunday, a runoff will be held on May 28.
\nPolling stations officially closed at 5 p.m. (1400 GMT) after nine hours of voting. Reporting of results before 9 p.m. is not permitted, so the first indications of the outcome may not emerge until late evening. However, election authorities may decide to allow media to report on results earlier.
\nWith Erdogan slightly trailing his rival, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the elections are being intently watched in Western capitals, the Middle East, NATO and Moscow.
\nA defeat for Erdogan, one of President Vladimir Putin\u2019s most important allies, will likely unnerve the Kremlin but comfort the Biden administration, as well as many European and Middle Eastern leaders who had troubled relations with Erdogan.
\nTurkey\u2019s longest-serving leader has turned the NATO member and Europe\u2019s second largest country into a global player, modernized it through megaprojects such as new bridges, hospitals and airports, and built a military industry sought by foreign states.
\nBut his volatile economic policy of low interest rates, which set off a spiralling cost of living crisis and inflation, left him prey to voters\u2019 anger. His government\u2019s slow response to a devastating earthquake in southeast Turkey that killed 50,000 people added to voters\u2019 dismay.
\nKilicdaroglu has pledged to set Turkey on a new course by reviving democracy after years of state repression, returning to orthodox economic policies, empowering institutions who lost autonomy under Erdogan\u2019s tight grasp and rebuilding frail ties with the West.
\nThousands of political prisoners and activists, including high level names such as Kurdish leader Selahattin Demirtas and philantropist Osman Kavala, could be released if the opposition prevails.
\nPOLARISED POLITICS
\n\u201cI see these elections as a choice between democracy and dictatorship,\u201d said Ahmet Kalkan, 64, as he voted in Istanbul for Kilicdaroglu, echoing critics who fear Erdogan will govern ever more autocratically if he wins.
\n\u201cI chose democracy and I hope that my country chooses democracy,\u201d said Kalkan, a retired health sector worker.
\nErdogan, 69 and a veteran of a dozen election victories, says he respects democracy and denies being a dictator.
\nIllustrating how the president still commands support, Mehmet Akif Kahraman, also voting in Istanbul, said Erdogan still represented the future even after two decades in power.
\n\u201cGod willing, Turkey will be a world leader,\u201d he said.
\nVoters elsewhere in the country also expressed views for and against Erdogan, a polarising figure hoping to extend his tenure as the longest-serving ruler since modern Turkey was established 100 years ago.
\nErdogan, voting in Istanbul, shook the hands of election officials and spoke to a TV reporter in the polling station.
\n\u201cWe pray to God for a better future for our country, nation and Turkish democracy,\u201d he said. He later travelled to Ankara, despite having said he would monitor the election from Istanbul.
\nA smiling Kilicdaroglu, 74, voted in Ankara and emerged to applause from the waiting crowd.
\n\u201cI offer my most sincere love and respect to all my citizens who are going to the ballot box and voting. We all miss democracy so much,\u201d he told the assembled media.
\nThe parliamentary vote is a tight race between the People\u2019s Alliance comprising Erdogan\u2019s Islamist-rooted AK Party (AKP) and the nationalist MHP and others, and Kilicdaroglu\u2019s Nation Alliance formed of six opposition parties, including his secularist Republican People\u2019s Party (CHP), established by Turkey\u2019s founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.
\nVoting was being monitored by a mission from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, which said it would deliver a preliminary statement on Monday on its findings.
\nCHANGE OR CONTINUITY
\nErdogan, a powerful orator and master campaigner, has pulled out all the stops on the campaign trail. He commands fierce loyalty from pious Turks who once felt disenfranchised in secular Turkey and his political career has survived an attempted coup in 2016, and numerous corruption scandals.
\nHowever, if Turks do oust Erdogan it will be largely because they saw their prosperity and ability to meet basic needs decline, with inflation that topped 85% in Oct. 2022 and a collapse in the lira currency.
\nKilicdaroglu says he would seek to return Turkey to the parliamentary system of governance, from Erdogan\u2019s executive presidential system passed in a referendum in 2017. He has also promised to restore the independence of a judiciary that critics say Erdogan has used to crack down on dissent.
\nErdogan has taken tight control of most of Turkey\u2019s institutions and sidelined liberals and critics. Human Rights Watch, in its World Report 2022, said Erdogan\u2019s government has set back Turkey\u2019s human rights record by decades.
\nKurdish voters, who account for 15-20% of the electorate, will play a vital role, with the Nation Alliance unlikely to attain a parliamentary majority by itself.
\nThe pro-Kurdish Peoples\u2019 Democratic Party (HDP) is not part of the main opposition alliance but fiercely opposes Erdogan after a crackdown on its members in recent years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ISTANBUL Turks voted on Sunday in one of the most consequential elections in the country\u2019s 100-year history, a contest that could end President Tayyip Erdogan\u2019s imperious 20-year rule and reverberate well beyond Turkey\u2019s borders. The presidential vote will decide not only who leads Turkey, a NATO-member country of 85 million, but also how it is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":331254,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-331212","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-world"},"yoast_head":"\n