{"id":487753,"date":"2025-07-01T17:10:25","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T12:10:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/?p=487753"},"modified":"2025-07-01T17:10:25","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T12:10:25","slug":"budget-2025-26-a-document-of-dreams-or-a-draft-of-deceit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/budget-2025-26-a-document-of-dreams-or-a-draft-of-deceit\/","title":{"rendered":"Budget 2025-26: A Document of Dreams or a Draft of Deceit?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By: Muhammad Asif Asi \u2013 Islamabad<\/p>\n<p>When the finance minister placed the hefty budget file for 2025-26 on the assembly desk, his face reflected confidence, and smiles spread across the treasury benches. Yet, behind those numbers, flowcharts, and fiscal jargon, the realities of Pakistan&#8217;s struggling middle class remained buried deep under piles of promises.<\/p>\n<p>The annual budget is meant to be a mirror\u2014reflecting a government&#8217;s priorities, its economic vision, and its sincerity toward the people. This year, that mirror seems foggy, showing only partial truths, calculated optimism, and uncomfortable silence where it matters most.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Lofty Claims, Stark Realities<\/p>\n<p>The government has set the total budget outlay at an ambitious Rs. 18.9 trillion, with a tax revenue target of Rs. 12.97 trillion. On paper, it all sounds like progress\u2014fiscal discipline, digital reforms, macroeconomic stability. But when viewed through the lens of street-level inflation, joblessness, and the average citizen\u2019s purchasing power, the budget feels more like a PR campaign than a solution roadmap.<\/p>\n<p>FBR Reforms \u2013 Cosmetic or Core?<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the introduction of digital invoicing, faceless audits, AI-based scrutiny, and POS integration looks modern and reformist. But will system upgrades fix a mindset riddled with corruption, inefficiency, and political manipulation?<\/p>\n<p>The target to raise the tax-to-GDP ratio to 14% seems logical. Yet, historical performance and institutional inertia suggest this may be another well-worded ambition, doomed to drown under the weight of poor execution.<\/p>\n<p>Relief for the People? Maybe Next Year<\/p>\n<p>One flips through 100+ pages of budget figures but finds little comfort for:<\/p>\n<p>Salaried individuals facing pay stagnation amid skyrocketing living costs<\/p>\n<p>Small businesses gasping for liquidity<\/p>\n<p>Farmers drowning in rising input prices<\/p>\n<p>Urban households crushed by inflated energy bills<\/p>\n<p>The government did raise allocations for BISP and social protection, but it barely scratches the surface of public misery. For a nation battling double-digit inflation, this was the moment for bold relief. Instead, it offered cold calculations.<\/p>\n<p>Energy Sector: Reforms Announced, Crisis Continues<\/p>\n<p>The budget talks about renegotiating IPP agreements, reducing circular debt, and expanding energy infrastructure. But tell that to a citizen receiving electricity bills higher than their income. What good are macro-level reforms when the micro-level remains unlivable?<\/p>\n<p>Power theft, transmission losses, and outdated infrastructure continue to drain public money. Without strict accountability and transparency, these reforms may stay stuck in presentation slides.<\/p>\n<p>Privatization: Cure or Capitulation?<\/p>\n<p>The revival of privatization plans\u2014PIA, Steel Mills, GENCOs, DISCOs\u2014is either a sign of economic realism or bureaucratic surrender. What\u2019s missing is a social safety net for those who will lose jobs, and a roadmap for how these sell-offs will be managed without turning into another story of elite capture.<\/p>\n<p>Do we fix state institutions, or just offload them like unwanted liabilities?<\/p>\n<p>The Stepchildren of the Budget: Education, Health, Agriculture<\/p>\n<p>The allocation for education is disappointingly low\u2014again. Public schools remain underfunded, teachers demotivated, and students underserved.<\/p>\n<p>Healthcare? Hospitals are overcrowded, under-equipped, and ignored.<\/p>\n<p>Agriculture? Despite feeding the nation, our farmers get the least fiscal attention.<\/p>\n<p>This budget seems tailor-made for megaprojects, metros, and highways\u2014not for classrooms, dispensaries, or wheat fields.<\/p>\n<p>A Few Positives Worth Noting<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s be fair. There are some good ideas buried beneath the numbers:<\/p>\n<p>The focus on digitizing the tax system is overdue and welcome.<\/p>\n<p>Anti-fraud systems in refunds and customs show seriousness.<\/p>\n<p>BISP expansion could uplift vulnerable households\u2014if managed transparently.<\/p>\n<p>The drive to improve debt management and avoid reckless borrowing is a strategic necessity.<\/p>\n<p>If executed with sincerity, these initiatives can sow the seeds of long-term stability.<\/p>\n<p>The Unanswered Questions<\/p>\n<p>Where is the immediate relief for the struggling poor?<\/p>\n<p>How does this budget address the informal sector and real job creation?<\/p>\n<p>Can we afford this level of borrowing without losing economic sovereignty?<\/p>\n<p>Will this budget help build trust between citizens and the state?<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Final Thoughts<\/p>\n<p>A budget is not just an economic document\u2014it is a moral one. It tells a story: of who we are, what we value, and where we intend to go.<\/p>\n<p>This budget tells two tales:<br \/>\nOne for the investors, donors, and lenders\u2014full of graphs and good intentions.<br \/>\nAnd another for the people\u2014full of silence, stress, and status quo.<\/p>\n<p>If this budget is to be remembered as a turning point, it must walk beyond presentations and PowerPoints. It must meet the people in their neighborhoods, homes, and wallets.<\/p>\n<p>Otherwise, it\u2019s just another financial fiction in the library of broken promises.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By: Muhammad Asif Asi \u2013 Islamabad When the finance minister placed the hefty budget file for 2025-26 on the assembly desk, his face reflected confidence, and smiles spread across the treasury benches. Yet, behind those numbers, flowcharts, and fiscal jargon, the realities of Pakistan&#8217;s struggling middle class remained buried deep under piles of promises. The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-487753","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-article"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Budget 2025-26: A Document of Dreams or a Draft of Deceit?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/budget-2025-26-a-document-of-dreams-or-a-draft-of-deceit\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Budget 2025-26: A Document of Dreams or a Draft of Deceit?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By: Muhammad Asif Asi \u2013 Islamabad When the finance minister placed the hefty budget file for 2025-26 on the assembly desk, his face reflected confidence, and smiles spread across the treasury benches. 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