{"id":506921,"date":"2025-10-06T00:59:46","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T19:59:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/?p=506921"},"modified":"2025-10-06T00:59:46","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T19:59:46","slug":"bmp-warns-inflation-surge-to-5-6-risks-derailing-fragile-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/bmp-warns-inflation-surge-to-5-6-risks-derailing-fragile-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"BMP warns inflation surge to 5.6% risks derailing fragile recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Anjum Nisar urges govt to curb cost shocks, protect industry, consumers<br \/>\n Islamabad<br \/>\nThe Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry\u2019s Businessmen Panel (BMP) has expressed deep concern over the sharp rise in inflation to 5.6% in September \u2014 the highest level in a year \u2014 warning that the trend could further weaken purchasing power, erode industrial competitiveness, and derail the fragile recovery of Pakistan\u2019s economy.<br \/>\nBMP Chairman and former FPCCI President Mian Anjum Nisar said the latest figures are alarming, especially as they have surpassed even the finance ministry\u2019s upper projection of 4.5% issued just a day before the official release.<br \/>\nHe said the spike in non-perishable food prices, alongside continuing volatility in energy and transport costs, shows that inflationary pressures are structural and not merely seasonal. \u201cThis is not just a temporary shock \u2014 it reflects deep distortions in our supply chains, weak governance in price control, and the absence of an effective coordination mechanism between the federation and provinces,\u201d he observed.<br \/>\nThe Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) reported last week that inflation accelerated in both rural and urban centers, primarily due to non-perishable food items, while perishable goods slightly eased. Food inflation in urban areas rose to 2.2%, while rural food inflation stood at 1.5%. Non-food inflation, however, remained elevated \u2014 touching 5.6% in rural areas and 6.2% in cities. Among key food commodities, sugar prices jumped 29%, butter rose 27%, wheat 17.5%, and wheat flour 13.5%.<br \/>\nMian Anjum Nisar said such increases directly hit lower- and middle-income households already struggling with high living costs. \u201cWhen essentials like wheat, sugar, and edible oils rise at this pace, it sets off a chain reaction across the economy. The poorest are forced to cut down consumption, while industries face rising wage and input pressures,\u201d he said. He noted that the recent floods have further strained supply chains, contributing to bottlenecks that are pushing up prices.<br \/>\nHe criticized the policy approach that relies heavily on passing fiscal adjustments and IMF-driven reforms onto consumers and producers without sufficient cushioning. \u201cEnergy tariffs and indirect taxes are being used as fiscal tools, but the cost is being paid by households and industries. This is neither sustainable nor socially responsible,\u201d he remarked.<br \/>\nThe BMP chief warned that the government\u2019s pursuit of fiscal consolidation through energy price hikes and withdrawal of subsidies has pushed inflationary expectations higher. \u201cThe recent round of utility tariff increases, coupled with the weakening rupee and higher import costs, is feeding into a new inflationary cycle,\u201d he said. He added that the central bank\u2019s tight monetary policy, though maintaining interest rates far above headline inflation, has not helped lower costs for manufacturers or small businesses.<br \/>\nAccording to him, the combination of high borrowing costs, rising electricity and gas prices, and imported food inflation is creating a triple squeeze on Pakistan\u2019s industrial sector. \u201cManufacturers are unable to absorb these shocks. Many are cutting production or delaying new investments. Without targeted relief, we risk a deeper industrial slowdown,\u201d he said.<br \/>\nMian Anjum Nisar urged the government to immediately reassess its price stabilization strategy and improve coordination between ministries. \u201cInflation control cannot be left to the State Bank alone. This requires synchronized fiscal and administrative actions \u2014 improving market monitoring, managing food imports and exports prudently, and ensuring transparency in utility pricing,\u201d he suggested.<br \/>\nHe called for a comprehensive action plan to strengthen food supply chains, invest in cold storage and logistics, and expand agricultural output to curb recurring shortages. \u201cWe cannot fight inflation without agricultural reforms. Pakistan loses billions each year due to post-harvest wastage and poor storage, while middlemen continue to profit at the expense of both farmers and consumers,\u201d he said.<br \/>\nThe BMP leader also urged that fiscal reforms should be designed to protect the most vulnerable sections of society. \u201cInflation is not just a number \u2014 it is a direct attack on livelihoods. The government must consider targeted subsidies for low-income groups, especially for essential items such as wheat, sugar, electricity, and gas,\u201d he added.<br \/>\nHe emphasized that the current inflationary phase could also hurt Pakistan\u2019s external competitiveness. \u201cRising costs have made our export goods more expensive in global markets. Exporters are already struggling with refund delays, high freight charges, and energy shortages. Without intervention, our trade deficit could widen again,\u201d he cautioned.<br \/>\nMian Anjum Nisar further pointed out that higher inflation may temporarily boost FBR revenues, but that gain will be short-lived if economic activity slows down. \u201cRelying on inflation-driven tax collection is a dangerous trap. It inflates revenue figures without expanding the real base of taxpayers. The government must focus on efficiency and transparency, not rate hikes,\u201d he said.<br \/>\nThe BMP suggested that policy consistency and predictable energy pricing are essential to restore business confidence. \u201cFrequent changes in tariffs and taxes create uncertainty, discouraging both domestic and foreign investors. A stable policy environment with medium-term price targets will help rebuild trust,\u201d he noted.<br \/>\nHe also called for a cautious monetary stance from the State Bank of Pakistan, arguing that excessive tightening could further hurt industrial recovery. \u201cThe priority should be to maintain price stability without choking investment. Monetary measures must complement fiscal ones, not contradict them,\u201d he added.<br \/>\nThe BMP leader warned that unless inflation is brought under control through structural reforms and better governance, Pakistan could face a new cycle of stagflation \u2014 low growth combined with high prices. \u201cThe government must balance its fiscal goals with social protection and industrial revival. Only then can we achieve stable growth,\u201d he said.<br \/>\nConcluding, Mian Anjum Nisar urged policymakers to make inflation control a national priority rather than a statistical exercise. \u201cWe need an inflation strategy built on coordination, transparency, and accountability. The longer this instability persists, the more damage it will do to our industries, exports, and ordinary citizens,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anjum Nisar urges govt to curb cost shocks, protect industry, consumers Islamabad The Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry\u2019s Businessmen Panel (BMP) has expressed deep concern over the sharp rise in inflation to 5.6% in September \u2014 the highest level in a year \u2014 warning that the trend could further weaken purchasing power, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":441115,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-506921","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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purchasing power, [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/bmp-warns-inflation-surge-to-5-6-risks-derailing-fragile-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Daily Lead Pakistan\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/DailyLeadPak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-05T19:59:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/leadpakistan.com.pk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Page-6-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1105\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"677\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Web Desk\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@DailyLeadPak\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@DailyLeadPak\" \/>\n<meta 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