ISLAMABAD
Oil futures surged for the third straight week to hit 10-month highs amid expectations of a tighter crude market on supply curbs from Opec+ members and better than expected China economic data.
Both major global benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ended the week higher by 3.62 percent and 3.73 percent, respectively. Brent, the international benchmark for two-thirds of the world’s oil, jumped to $93.93 from $90.65 a barrel, showing an increase of $3.28 on a week-on-week (WoW) basis. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the main oil benchmark for North America, edged up to $90.77 from $87.51 a barrel on a weekly basis, registering a weekly gain of $3.26.
On the other hand, Arab Light prices witnessed an increase of $4.46 (+4.78 percent) to reach $97.85 from $93.39 a barrel on a weekly basis.
Similarly, the price for Opec Basket increased to $95.70 from $92.97 on a week-on-week basis, showing a gain of $2.73 (+2.94 percent). Likewise, the price of Russian Sokol increased by $4.54 (+5.43 percent) to $88.08 from $83.54 on WoW basis.
The International Energy Agency has forecast a global oil demand growth of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second half of the year, compared with the first half, exceeding supply by 1.24 million bpd during the period.
“From September onwards, the loss of Opec+ production, led by Saudi Arabia, will drive a significant supply shortfall through the fourth quarter,” the IEA said in its monthly report this week.
Opec+ members Saudi Arabia and Russia announced last week that they would extend supply cuts of a combined 1.3 million bpd to the end of the year.
As part of their voluntary cuts, the kingdom is extending its output reduction of a million bpd until December while Russia is rolling over its export cut of 300,000 bpd until the end of the year.
In its monthly oil market report on Tuesday, Opec said it expected a supply shortfall of 3.3 million bpd over the next three months.
The group also stuck to its oil demand outlook for this year and the next, and said China’s recent stimulus measures would help to revive economic growth.
China’s economy is recovering from the Covid-19 pandemic, with the country having reported higher industrial output and retail sales in August, boosting demand for crude.
Data from the National Bureau released on Friday showed oil refinery processing rose to a record 64.69 million tonnes in August, up 19.6 per cent, or 15.23 million bpd, from a year earlier, Reuters reported. The better-than-expected industrial production, retail sales data from China this morning and news that the People’s Bank of China cut the required reserves for banks for the second time this year to boost market liquidity are giving further support to the oil bulls.
